UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Indiana
  
Indiana               
W-L: (22-31) PR = 95.0563

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 4- 9 214 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 3- 4 214 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2-12 217 A Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 15- 0 220 A Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 7- 4 221 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 6- 1 222 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 8- 9 225 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 10- 4 227 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 1- 4 228 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 3- 1 228 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 12-14 301 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 7- 3 306 A Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 4- 9 307 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 2- 9 308 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4-13 310 H Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 12- 4 313 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 2- 3 314 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 1- 5 315 A Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 6- 7 317 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 1 320 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 8- 6 321 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 7- 5 322 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2-14 324 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 4- 5 327 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 5- 6 328 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 7-12 329 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 4-12 331 A Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 4- 5 403 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 11- 0 404 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 6- 9 405 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 8- 2 407 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 6- 8 410 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 11- 1 411 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 4-14 412 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 6- 8 414 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 17-12 415 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 8- 6 417 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 13- 3 418 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 4- 8 419 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 5- 4 421 A Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 20-10 424 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 2-12 425 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 2- 9 426 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 4- 7 428 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 10- 6 501 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 9- 2 502 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 4- 7 503 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 6- 9 508 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 9-11 509 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 4- 5 510 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 8-11 514 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 10- 1 515 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 7- 7 516 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 11- 2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A North Carolina          4- 9      -5    -4          -0.58
   214 A North Carolina          3- 4      -1    -4    +      3.42
   214 A North Carolina          2-12     -10    -4    --    -5.58
   217 A Richmond               15- 0      15     4    +++   10.44
   220 A Niagara                 7- 4       3     5    -     -2.33
   221 H UCF                     6- 1       5     0    ++     5.26
   222 A Notre Dame              8- 9      -1    -2           0.51
   225 A Xavier                 10- 4       6     1    ++     5.21
   227 A Western Kentucky        1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.03
   228 A Western Kentucky        3- 1       2     0           1.97
   228 A Western Kentucky       12-14      -2     0    -     -2.03
   301 A Western Kentucky        7- 3       4     0    +      3.97
   306 A Arkansas Pine Bluff     4- 9      -5     2    ---   -6.97
   307 H Washington              2- 9      -7     2    ---   -8.86
   308 H Washington              4-13      -9     2    ---  -10.86
   310 H Wright State           12- 4       8     2    +++    6.39
   313 A Oregon                  2- 3      -1    -3           1.74
   314 A Oregon                  1- 5      -4    -3          -1.26
   315 A Oregon                  6- 7      -1    -3           1.74
   317 A Vanderbilt              5- 1       4    -3    +++    6.74
   320 H Minnesota               8- 6       2    -2    +      3.61
   321 A NC State                7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.00
   322 H Minnesota               2-14     -12    -2    ---  -10.39
   324 H Indiana State           4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.42
   327 A Nebraska                5- 6      -1    -3           1.66
   328 A Nebraska                7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.34
   329 A Nebraska                4-12      -8    -3    --    -5.34
   331 A Evansville              4- 5      -1     3    -     -3.89
   403 H Rutgers                11- 0      11     2    +++    9.16
   404 H Rutgers                 6- 9      -3     2    --    -4.84
   405 H Rutgers                 8- 2       6     2    ++     4.16
   407 A Janes Madison           6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.28
   410 H Rutgers                11- 1      10     2    +++    8.16
   411 A Maryland                4-14     -10     0    ---   -9.60
   412 A Maryland                6- 8      -2     0          -1.60
   414 A Indiana State          17-12       5     2    +      2.93
   415 H Evansville              8- 6       2     4    -     -2.25
   417 H Abilene Christian      13- 3      10     2    +++    7.89
   418 H Abilene Christian       4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.11
   419 H Abilene Christian       5- 4       1     2          -1.11
   421 A Ball State             20-10      10     3    +++    7.00
   424 H Iowa                    2-12     -10     0    ---   -9.90
   425 H Iowa                    2- 9      -7     0    ---   -6.90
   426 H Iowa                    4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.90
   428 A Louisville             10- 6       4    -2    ++     5.82
   501 A Northwestern            9- 2       7     2    ++     5.13
   502 A Northwestern            4- 7      -3     2    --    -4.87
   503 A Northwestern            6- 9      -3     2    --    -4.87
   508 A Purdue                  9-11      -2    -2          -0.04
   509 A Purdue                  4- 5      -1    -2           0.96
   510 A Purdue                  8-11      -3    -2          -1.04
   514 A Texas Tech             10- 1       9    -1    +++   10.41
   515 A Texas Tech              7- 7       0    -1           1.41
   516 H Illinois               11- 2       9     1    +++    8.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Arkansas Pine Bluff     4- 9      -5     2    ---   -6.97
   307 H Washington              2- 9      -7     2    ---   -8.86
   308 H Washington              4-13      -9     2    ---  -10.86
   322 H Minnesota               2-14     -12    -2    ---  -10.39
   411 A Maryland                4-14     -10     0    ---   -9.60
   418 H Abilene Christian       4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.11
   424 H Iowa                    2-12     -10     0    ---   -9.90
   425 H Iowa                    2- 9      -7     0    ---   -6.90
   214 A North Carolina          2-12     -10    -4    --    -5.58
   324 H Indiana State           4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.42
   329 A Nebraska                4-12      -8    -3    --    -5.34
   404 H Rutgers                 6- 9      -3     2    --    -4.84
   407 A Janes Madison           6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.28
   502 A Northwestern            4- 7      -3     2    --    -4.87
   503 A Northwestern            6- 9      -3     2    --    -4.87
   220 A Niagara                 7- 4       3     5    -     -2.33
   227 A Western Kentucky        1- 4      -3     0    -     -3.03
   228 A Western Kentucky       12-14      -2     0    -     -2.03
   328 A Nebraska                7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.34
   331 A Evansville              4- 5      -1     3    -     -3.89
   415 H Evansville              8- 6       2     4    -     -2.25
   426 H Iowa                    4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Richmond               15- 0      15     4    +++   10.44
   310 H Wright State           12- 4       8     2    +++    6.39
   317 A Vanderbilt              5- 1       4    -3    +++    6.74
   403 H Rutgers                11- 0      11     2    +++    9.16
   410 H Rutgers                11- 1      10     2    +++    8.16
   417 H Abilene Christian      13- 3      10     2    +++    7.89
   421 A Ball State             20-10      10     3    +++    7.00
   514 A Texas Tech             10- 1       9    -1    +++   10.41
   516 H Illinois               11- 2       9     1    +++    8.42
   221 H UCF                     6- 1       5     0    ++     5.26
   225 A Xavier                 10- 4       6     1    ++     5.21
   321 A NC State                7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.00
   405 H Rutgers                 8- 2       6     2    ++     4.16
   428 A Louisville             10- 6       4    -2    ++     5.82
   501 A Northwestern            9- 2       7     2    ++     5.13
   214 A North Carolina          3- 4      -1    -4    +      3.42
   301 A Western Kentucky        7- 3       4     0    +      3.97
   320 H Minnesota               8- 6       2    -2    +      3.61
   414 A Indiana State          17-12       5     2    +      2.93

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A North Carolina  (54-14, 98.8)     4- 9       -1.10      17.32       0.68         0.54            -0.11
   3 A North Carolina  (54-14, 98.8)     3- 4       -1.10      17.32       0.68         0.54            -0.11
   3 A North Carolina  (54-14, 98.8)     2-12       -1.10      17.32       0.68         0.54            -0.11
   3 A Richmond        ( 8-10, 90.8)    15- 0       -9.07       9.35       0.68         0.54            10.74
   3 A Niagara         ( 1-11, 89.1)     7- 4      -10.85       7.58       0.68         0.54             8.84
   3 H UCF             (29-26, 96.0)     6- 1       -3.91      14.52      -0.68         0.54            14.83
   3 A Notre Dame      (30-22, 95.9)     8- 9       -4.01      14.42       0.68         0.54            -0.89
   3 A Xavier          (27-30, 93.6)    10- 4       -6.31      12.12       0.68         0.54            13.70
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     1- 4       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.54            -1.30
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     3- 1       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.54            14.52
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)    12-14       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.54            -1.30
   3 A Western Kentuc  (28-27, 94.4)     7- 3       -5.55      12.88       0.68         0.54            14.52
   3 A Arkansas Pine   ( 5-10, 92.4)     4- 9       -7.49      10.93       0.68         0.54            -1.83
   3 H Washington      (24-32, 93.9)     2- 9       -6.03      12.40      -0.68         0.54            -1.79
   3 H Washington      (24-32, 93.9)     4-13       -6.03      12.40      -0.68         0.54            -1.79
   3 H Wright State    (10-12, 94.1)    12- 4       -5.77      12.65      -0.68         0.54            12.83
   3 A Oregon          (44-17, 97.1)     2- 3       -2.78      15.65       0.68         0.54            -0.56
   3 A Oregon          (44-17, 97.1)     1- 5       -2.78      15.65       0.68         0.54            -0.56
   3 A Oregon          (44-17, 97.1)     6- 7       -2.78      15.65       0.68         0.54            -0.56
   3 A Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     5- 1       -2.78      15.65       0.68         0.54            17.49
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     8- 6       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.54            16.27
   3 A NC State        (34-21, 96.4)     7- 5       -3.52      14.91       0.68         0.54            16.69
   3 H Minnesota       (31-21, 97.3)     2-14       -2.56      15.86      -0.68         0.54            -0.87
   3 H Indiana State   ( 9-14, 92.3)     4- 5       -7.59      10.84      -0.68         0.54            -2.21
   3 A Nebraska        (41-17, 97.0)     5- 6       -2.86      15.57       0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 A Nebraska        (41-17, 97.0)     7-12       -2.86      15.57       0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 A Nebraska        (41-17, 97.0)     4-12       -2.86      15.57       0.68         0.54            -0.58
   3 A Evansville      ( 5-14, 91.5)     4- 5       -8.41      10.01       0.68         0.54            -2.07
   3 H Rutgers         (25-31, 93.9)    11- 0       -6.01      12.42      -0.68         0.54            12.58
   3 H Rutgers         (25-31, 93.9)     6- 9       -6.01      12.42      -0.68         0.54            -1.79
   3 H Rutgers         (25-31, 93.9)     8- 2       -6.01      12.42      -0.68         0.54            12.58
   3 A Janes Madison   (20-31, 92.1)     6- 8       -7.80      10.63       0.68         0.54            -1.91
   3 H Rutgers         (25-31, 93.9)    11- 1       -6.01      12.42      -0.68         0.54            12.58
   3 A Maryland        (27-28, 94.8)     4-14       -5.11      13.31       0.68         0.54            -1.19
   3 A Maryland        (27-28, 94.8)     6- 8       -5.11      13.31       0.68         0.54            -1.19
   3 A Indiana State   ( 9-14, 92.3)    17-12       -7.59      10.84       0.68         0.54            12.33
   3 H Evansville      ( 5-14, 91.5)     8- 6       -8.41      10.01      -0.68         0.54            10.00
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 9-12, 93.6)    13- 3       -6.27      12.15      -0.68         0.54            12.29
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 9-12, 93.6)     4- 8       -6.27      12.15      -0.68         0.54            -1.86
   3 H Abilene Christ  ( 9-12, 93.6)     5- 4       -6.27      12.15      -0.68         0.54            12.29
   3 A Ball State      ( 4-11, 91.4)    20-10       -8.52       9.90       0.68         0.54            11.33
   3 H Iowa            (34-21, 95.8)     2-12       -4.07      14.36      -0.68         0.54            -1.27
   3 H Iowa            (34-21, 95.8)     2- 9       -4.07      14.36      -0.68         0.54            -1.27
   3 H Iowa            (34-21, 95.8)     4- 7       -4.07      14.36      -0.68         0.54            -1.27
   3 A Louisville      (29-27, 96.2)    10- 6       -3.70      14.73       0.68         0.54            16.50
   3 A Northwestern    (20-30, 92.5)     9- 2       -7.38      11.04       0.68         0.54            12.55
   3 A Northwestern    (20-30, 92.5)     4- 7       -7.38      11.04       0.68         0.54            -1.80
   3 A Northwestern    (20-30, 92.5)     6- 9       -7.38      11.04       0.68         0.54            -1.80
   3 A Purdue          (39-18, 96.3)     9-11       -3.56      14.87       0.68         0.54            -0.77
   3 A Purdue          (39-18, 96.3)     4- 5       -3.56      14.87       0.68         0.54            -0.77
   3 A Purdue          (39-18, 96.3)     8-11       -3.56      14.87       0.68         0.54            -0.77
   3 A Texas Tech      (31-24, 95.8)    10- 1       -4.11      14.32       0.68         0.54            16.06
   3 A Texas Tech      (31-24, 95.8)     7- 7       -4.11      14.32       0.68         0.54             0.00
   3 H Illinois        (27-27, 95.1)    11- 2       -4.75      13.67      -0.68         0.54            13.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       259.96

winning pts = 295.4612 losing points = -35.5045

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------